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- IMF Warns: Economic Slowdown Ahead 🌍
IMF Warns: Economic Slowdown Ahead 🌍
Ryan Serkes
April 23, 2025
The
Daily Trade
Hey Daily Traders,
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has sounded the alarm on an impending economic slowdown, largely attributed to ongoing trade tensions and U.S. tariffs. With global growth projected to dip to 2.8% in 2025, the slowest since the pandemic, investor confidence is teetering as trade negotiations, particularly with China, remain stalled.
Meanwhile, Monarch Casino & Resort shines with record first-quarter results, demonstrating the resilience of the gaming industry amid economic uncertainties. In real estate, South Dakota's rejection of the Summit Carbon Solutions pipeline permit underscores the complex balance between environmental goals and regulatory hurdles. On the crypto front, Trump Media and Crypto.com's partnership for ETF launches marks a bold venture into digital assets, while federal cannabis reforms signal potential shifts in U.S. marijuana regulation.
Here's what's happening today:
- 🌍 IMF warns of global slowdown amid trade tensions.
- 📈 Monarch Casino reports record first quarter results.
- 🚫 South Dakota rejects $8.9B carbon pipeline permit.
- 📊 Trump Media partners with Crypto.com for ETF launch.
- 🌿 Cannabis Caucus proposes federal marijuana reforms.
Question
With the IMF warning of a global economic slowdown due to trade tensions, do you believe these tariffs will ultimately harm or benefit the U.S. economy in the long run?
Reply to this email with your answer
Stock Market  The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has revised its global economic outlook, projecting a slowdown in growth due to the impact of U.S. tariffs on international trade. The IMF forecasts that global growth will decline to 2.8% in 2025, down from 3.3% in 2024, marking the slowest growth since the COVID-19 pandemic. The U.S. economy is also expected to experience a downturn, with GDP growth dropping to 1.8% from 2.8% last year. The tariffs, which have been imposed on a wide range of countries, have resulted in increased import costs and inflationary pressures. While the U.S. continues to negotiate with various countries to ease tariff burdens, the trade tensions with China remain unresolved. The IMF's report highlights that China's growth forecast has been slashed to 4.0% due to the trade standoff with the U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has expressed optimism for a de-escalation in tensions, but formal negotiations with China have yet to commence. The ongoing trade disputes are causing significant uncertainty in the financial markets, impacting investor confidence and economic stability globally. Key Takeaway
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Stock Market Monarch Casino & Resort has reported record financial results for the first quarter of 2025, with net revenue reaching $125.4 million, a 3.1% increase from the previous year. The company also saw an 8.7% rise in net income and a 12.9% increase in diluted earnings per share. Monarch attributes its strong performance to effective operating strategies and a focus on technological advancements to enhance guest satisfaction. The company's properties, including Monarch Black Hawk in Colorado and Atlantis in Reno, continue to attract mid-to-upper-tier guests, contributing to increased market share. Monarch's financial health is further supported by a strong balance sheet and free cash flow, enabling ongoing investments in property upgrades and dividend payments. The company has also announced a quarterly cash dividend of $0.30 per share. Monarch's strategic focus on expanding its market presence and enhancing operational efficiencies positions it well for sustained growth in the competitive casino industry. Key Takeaway
|
Real Estate  South Dakota's Public Utility Commission has denied a permit for the proposed $8.9 billion carbon capture pipeline by Summit Carbon Solutions, citing an incomplete application. The decision puts the future of the massive Midwest project in limbo, as the pipeline is crucial for transporting carbon emissions from ethanol plants across several states to storage sites in North Dakota. Summit plans to refile its application with a revised route to address landowner concerns and comply with new state regulations banning eminent domain for such projects. The pipeline is a key component of efforts to reduce the carbon footprint of the ethanol industry, which is heavily concentrated in the Midwest. However, the denial highlights the challenges faced by large infrastructure projects that must balance environmental goals with regulatory and landowner considerations. Summit remains committed to the project, emphasizing its importance for the regional economy and the ethanol industry. Key Takeaway
|
Crypto Trump Media and Technology Group (TMTG) has finalized an agreement with Crypto.com and Yorkville America Digital to launch a series of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) through its Truth.Fi brand. These ETFs will include digital assets and securities with a focus on American industries. The partnership aims to diversify TMTG's portfolio into financial services and digital assets, with the ETFs expected to launch later this year, pending regulatory approval. The collaboration highlights TMTG's strategic move into the financial sector, leveraging Crypto.com's platform for global distribution. This partnership marks a significant step for TMTG as it expands beyond its social media and streaming platforms. By entering the financial services and digital assets market, TMTG aims to capitalize on the growing interest in cryptocurrencies and American-focused investment products. The ETFs and associated financial products are part of a broader strategy to invest up to $250 million in new ventures, showcasing TMTG's commitment to innovation and growth in the fintech space. Key Takeaway
|
Stock Market  Congressional Cannabis Caucus co-chair Dave Joyce has introduced legislation to remove marijuana from the list of federally controlled substances, allowing states to set their own policies. The STATES 2.0 Act aims to create a more logical approach to cannabis regulation, aligning federal laws with the policies already in place in many states. The proposal reflects the growing acceptance of cannabis use across the U.S., with nearly all states permitting some form of cannabis consumption. The legislation seeks to address the inconsistencies between state and federal cannabis laws, which have created legal challenges and hindered economic growth. By empowering states to regulate cannabis according to their needs, the bill aims to enhance public safety, support scientific research, and promote economic opportunities. The proposed reforms have garnered support from various organizations, emphasizing the need for clarity and consistency in cannabis regulation. Key Takeaway
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Today's Technical Analysis
RSI Buy | MFI Buy | WillR Buy | AO Buy |
CCI Buy | BBANDS Buy | ULTOSC Buy | STOCH Buy |
RSI Sell | MFI Sell | WillR Sell | AO Hold |
CCI Sell | BBANDS Sell | ULTOSC Sell | STOCH Hold |
RSI Buy | MFI Hold | WillR Buy | AO Hold |
CCI Buy | BBANDS Buy | ULTOSC Buy | STOCH Hold |
RSI Buy | MFI Hold | WillR Buy | AO Buy |
CCI Buy | BBANDS Hold | ULTOSC Hold | STOCH Buy |
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Technical Indicator Information
Relative Strength Index (RSI) | Period: 14 days | Overvalued threshold: 70 | Undervalued threshold: 30
Money Flow Index (MFI) | Period: 14 days | Overvalued threshold: 80 | Undervalued threshold: 20
Williams Percent Range (WillR) | Period: 14 days | Overvalued threshold: -20 | Undervalued threshold: -80
Aroon Oscillator (AO) | Period: 14 days | Overvalued threshold: 75 | Undervalued threshold: -75
Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) | Period: 26/12/9 days | Overvalued threshold: MACD crosses below MACD Signal | Undervalued threshold: MACD crosses above MACD Signal
Stochastic Oscillator (STOCH) | Period: 14/3/3 days | Overvalued threshold: %K crosses below %D above 80 | Undervalued threshold: %K crosses above %D below 20
Commodity Channel Index (CCI) | Period: 20 days | Overvalued threshold: 100 | Undervalued threshold: -100
Bollinger Bands (BBANDS) | Period: 20 days | Overvalued threshold: price >= upper band | Undervalued threshold: price <= lower band
Parabolic Stop and Reverse (SAR) | Period: variable 50 - 100 days | Overvalued threshold: SAR crosses above price | Undervalued threshold: SAR crosses below price
Triple Exponential Average (TRIX) | Period: 15 days | Overvalued threshold: TRIX crosses below 0 | Undervalued threshold: TRIX crosses above 0
Ultimate Oscillator (ULTOSC) | Period: 28/14/7 days | Overvalued threshold: 70 | Undervalued threshold: 30
Directional Movement Index (DMI) | Period: 14 days | Overvalued threshold: PlusDI crosses below MinusDI | Undervalued threshold: PlusDI crosses above MinusDI
Average Directional Index (ADX) | Period: variable 14 days | Requirement: >= 25
Analysis is only performed on securities with market caps in excess of $100 million and with daily trade volume in excess of $50 million.
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